The Real Time Economics division of the Wall Street Journal looked at the experts’ forecast for 2015 for various sectors of the American economy . They were provided last January.
1.Experts Avreage forecast for oil $63 pb
Actual December 29 was $38 pb
2. Inflation , average expert forecast 1.6%
Actual , as of November 0.4%
3. Federal Funds Rate expert forecast 0.89
Actual was 0.375
4. Real Domestic Product expert forecast 3%
5. House prices expert forecast 4.1%
So ? Nothing is a guarantee. Always add a little common sense , a component unavailable in great quantities these days it seems.