What If Trump Broke The Law Like Justin Trudeau?

Can you believe?

I mean the number of media and and progressives who want to impeach the President, or otherwise bring him down : because they don’t like him, because of his language, because of his tweets,because of unfounded allegations by the New York Times, Washington Post, CNN, MSNBC , what would these people do if they had a real honest to God legal infraction—- like breaking the law as determined by an independent person who under law was responsible for examining such matters as conflict of interest.

There would be no end to the experts calling for the Presidents’s head.

I remember members of Congress going to jail for being guilty of conflict of interest matters .

Can’t you just see it:

CNN would have round the clock coverage ,suspending all regular programming.

MSNBC would have special panels with Hilary and Bill

Eric Holden and Loretta Lynch would picket the White House

New York Times and the Washington Post would publish special editions.

Paul Krugman would be predicting economic Armageddon.

California would secede .

Al Gore would announce the Environmental Apocalypse

UN General Assembly would convene and pass another resolution condemning the President

What a wonderful world we live in—————

Meanwhile back in Canada , Canadians would be regaling the Presdent and showing their anti American bona fides on every street corner.

Canadians were questioned about the fact that Trump only did what our PM did responded;

But that’s the US, this is Canada!

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Academia Unhinged ! Comey To Teach Ethical Course ?

Many of us have noticed from time to time how our Universities in North America have become less than disciplined , reducing their standards and in recent times hotbeds of anti free speech actions . Many are also very anti Semitic.

Well, they never cease to stoop to new lows. Witness the announcement of James Comey, former FBI Director , to teach a course at William and Mary University entitled ————you can’t make this stuff up—-ETHICAL LEADERSHIP!

This is the guy who leaked classified information to the Press and is still under a cloud about his possible involvement in ongoing investigations regarding the Democratic Party, the Clinton Campaign and its collusion with indivduals to smear President Trump. Jonathan Turly , a constitutional expert, and Professor at George Washington University says :

‘Thus, there is substantial evidence that Comey not only acted unethically in the removal and leaking of FBI information, but he may have violated federal law in doing so if one of the memos was classified.’

Many others have commented on Mr. Comey’s poor judgement and matters of ethics.

One has to question carefully these days of just how much is being learned at today’s Universities and whether it is worthwhile to subject our students to such hypocrisy, misinformation and outright dishonesty! You could hardly get a better example than this latest Comey announcement .

Our Law Breaking Princeling —What Is He Up To?

I don’t know about you, but this Prime Minister is really pushing his luck don’t you think?

Apparently the Federal Summer Jobs program that provided money to employers to assist in summer jobs for young people is to change how it approves applications under the program.

Such employers will now have to ‘attest ‘ to certain values to qualify. If you don’t have the values that the Government thinks necessary , especially on abortion and sexuality , then you are likely to be refused acceptance under the program.

Does this sound right to you?

The following letter to the Federal Minister responsible from The Canadian Council on Christian Charities sums up WHAT I THINK A LOT OF CANADIANS ARE THINKING :

‘Honourable Patty Hajdu
Minister of Employment, Workforce Development and Labour
House of Commons
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A 0A6

Dear Minister Hajdu,

The Canadian Council of Christian Charities is concerned about your recent policy change on the Canada Summer Jobs program.

It is troubling on a number of accounts including the fact that it makes a government benefit subject to agreement with government ideology on social policies such as abortion and sexual norms, upon which reasonable people may disagree.

This is a terrible precedent to be setting at a time when Canada is increasingly multicultural and is espousing greater co-operation among the different religious communities in our country.

The policy comes across to us as condescending. We suspect that it was not meant to be so. However, we do not appreciate the presuppositions being advanced such as:

– That organizations who do not accept the government ideology on abortion and sexual ethics are not in keeping with the Charter of Rights or human rights legislation. This is false. Religious organizations that are against abortion, and uphold traditional sexual norms are not in violation of any law;

– That children need to be protected from such organizations that hold these religious views. This, we must say, is particularly offensive and uncalled for;

– That such organizations do not respect women’s rights because they hold a pro-life position. Again this is false. A pro-life position does not disrespect the rights of women to chose what they do with their body. As a free country we are permitted different opinions. Reasonable people can reasonably disagree;

– That government funding of these organizations is somehow a government endorsement on the religious beliefs of those organizations. This logic leads to an absurdity. Government license to operate a nursing home does not mean that government endorses the religious views of the nursing home owner. Rather, it recognizes the competency of the nursing home to look after those under its care;

– That the law is settled on matters such as “Charter values.” That is not the case. There is a huge debate in the legal community as is noted by a recent Ontario Court of Appeal decision;

– That it is ok to deny religious organizations a public benefit even though they did not violate the Charter or human rights legislation. This is totally unacceptable in light of the rule of law;

– That religious “values” is not a Charter value to be considered when it most definitely is.

We cannot but be anxious when government, by making this policy, has unjustly slurred the reputation of the religious community who hold views different from the government. Such views, they are entitled to hold without government interference.

We kindly request that you revisit this policy in light of our concerns and reinstate the eligibility for the Canada Student Jobs program to all non-profit organizations, including Christian charities who do not hold the same views on social policy as your government.

Sincerely,

Barry W. Bussey, BA, LL.B., MA, LL.M., MPACS
Director, Legal Affairs
Canadian Council of Christian Charities
Advancing Ministry Together
Blog | Facebook | LinkedIn | Twitter
1-43 Howard Ave Elmira ON N3B 2C9
Web:www.cccc.org Tel: 519.669.5137’

Big Essay Number Three : The Case For Skepticism In Global Warming —

Mr. Crichton was one of the first well known popular personalities to take this subject on and effectively raise serious questions. Note this talk was given in 2005.

We still have not learned!

Michael Crichton

National Press Club
Washington DC
January 25, 2005

Michael’s detailed explanation of why he criticizes global warming scenarios. Using published UN data, he reviews why claims for catastrophic warming arouse doubt; why reducing CO2 is vastly more difficult than we are being told; and why we are morally unjustified to spend vast sums on this speculative issue when around the world people are dying of starvation and disease.

‘To be in Washington tonight reminds me that the only person to ever offer me a job in Washington was Daniel Patrick Moynihan. That was thirty years ago, and he was working for Nixon at the time. Moynihan was a hero of mine, the exemplar of an intellectual engaged in public policy. What I admired was that he confronted every issue according to the data and not a belief system. Moynihan could work for both Democratic and Republican presidents. He took a lot of flack for his analyses but he was more often right than wrong.

Moynihan was a Democrat, and I’m a political agnostic. I was also raised in a scientific tradition that regarded politics as inferior: If you weren’t bright enough to do science, you could go into politics. I retain that prejudice today. I also come from an older and tougher tradition that regards science as the business of testing theories with measured data from the outside world. Untestable hypotheses are not science but rather something else.

We are going to talk about the environment, so I should tell you I am the child of a mother who 60 years ago insisted on organic food, recycling, and energy efficiency long before people had terms for those ideas. She drove refrigerator salesmen mad.† And over the years, I have recycled my trash, installed solar panels and low flow appliances, driven diesel cars, and used cloth diapers on my child all approved ideas at the time.

I still believe that environmental awareness is desperately important. The environment is our shared life support system, it is what we pass on to the next generation, and how we act today has consequences potentially serious for future generations. But I have also come to believe that our conventional wisdom is wrongheaded, unscientific, badly out of date, and damaging to the environment. Yellowstone National Park has raw sewage seeping out of the ground. We must be doing something wrong.

In my view, our approach to global warming exemplifies everything that is wrong with our approach to the environment. We are basing our decisions on speculation, not evidence. Proponents are pressing their views with more PR than scientific data. Indeed, we have allowed the whole issue to be politicized red vs blue, Republican vs Democrat. This is in my view absurd. Data are not political. Data are data. Politics leads you in the direction of a belief. Data, if you follow them, lead you to truth.

When I was a student in the 1950s, like many kids I noticed that Africa seemed to fit nicely into South America. Were they once connected? I asked my teacher, who said that that this apparent fit was just an accident, and the continents did not move. I had trouble with that, unaware that people had been having trouble with it ever since Francis Bacon noticed the same thing back in 1620.A German named Wegener had made a more modern case for it in 1912. But still, my teacher said no.

By the time I was in college ten years later, it was recognized that continents did indeed move, and had done so for most of Earth’s history. Continental drift and plate tectonics were born. The teacher was wrong.

Now, jump ahead to the 1970s. Gerald Ford is president, Saigon falls, Hoffa disappears, and in climate science, evidence points to catastrophic cooling and a new ice age.

Such fears had been building for many years. In the first Earth Day in 1970, UC Davis Kenneth Watt said, if present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder in 1990, but eleven degrees colder by the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age. International Wildlife warned a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a threat to mankind. Science Digest said we must prepare for the next ice age. The Christian Science Monitor noted that armadillos had moved out of Nebraska because it was too cold, glaciers had begun to advance, and growing seasons had shortened around the world. Newsweek reported ominous signs of a fundamentally change in the world’s weather.

But in fact, every one of these statements was wrong. Fears of an ice age had vanished within five years, to be replaced by fears of global warming. These fears were heightened because population was exploding. By 1995, it was 5.7 billion, up 10% in the last five years.

Back in the 90s, if someone said to you, this population explosion is overstated. In the next hundred years, population will actually decline. That would contradict what all the environmental groups were saying, what the UN was saying. You would regard such a statement as outrageous.

More or less as you would regard a statement by someone in 2005 that global warming has been overstated.

But in fact, we now know that the hypothetical person in 1995 was right. And we know that there was strong evidence that this was the case going back for twenty years. We just weren’t told about that contradictory evidence, because the conventional wisdom, awesome in its power, kept it from us.

(This is a graph from Wired magazine showing rate of fertility decline over the last 50 years.)

I mention these examples because in my experience, we all tend to put a lot of faith in science. We believe what we are told. My father suffered a life filled with margarine, before he died of a heart attack anyway. Others of us have stuffed our colons with fiber to ward off cancer, only to learn later that it was all a waste of time, and fiber.

When I wrote Jurassic Park, I worried that people would reject the idea of creating a dinosaur as absurd. Nobody did, not even scientists. It was reported to me that a Harvard geneticist, one of the first to read the book, slammed it shut when he finished and announced, It can be done! Which was missing the point. Soon after, a Congressman announced he was introducing legislation to ban research leading to the creation of a dinosaur. I held my breath, but my hopes were dashed. Someone whispered in his ear that it couldn’t be done.

But even so, the belief lingers. Reporters would ask me, when you were doing research on Jurassic Park, did you visit real biotech labs? No, I said, why would I? They didn’t know how to make a dinosaur. And they don’t.

So we all tend to give science credence, even when it is not warranted. I will show you many examples of unwarranted credence tonight. But hereís an example to begin. This is the famous Drake equation from the 1960s to estimate the number of advanced civilizations in the galaxy.

††††††† N=N*fp ne fl fi fc fL

Where N is the number of stars in the Milky Way galaxy; fp is the fraction with planets; ne is the number of planets per star capable of supporting life; fl is the fraction of planets where life evolves; fi is the fraction where intelligent life evolves; and fc is the fraction that communicates; and fL is the fraction of the planetís life during which the communicating civilizations live.

The problem with this equation is that none of the terms can be known. As a result, the Drake equation can have any value from billions and billions to zero. An expression that can mean anything means nothing. The mathematical appearance is deceptive. In scientific terms by which I mean testable hypotheses the Drake equation is really meaningless.

And here is another example.† Most people just read it and nod:

How Many Species Exist? The question takes on increasing significance as plants and animals vanish before scientists can even identify them.

Now, wait a minute. How could you know something vanished before you identified it? If you didn’t know it existed, you wouldn’t have any way to know it was gone. Would you? In fact, the statement is nonsense. If you were never married you never know if your wife left you.

Okay. With this as a preparation, let’s turn to the evidence, both graphic and verbal, for global warming. As most of you have heard many times, the consensus of climate scientists believes in global warming. Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled.Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you’re being had.

Lets be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics.Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. In science, consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus.

And furthermore, the consensus of scientists has frequently been wrong. As they were wrong when they believed, earlier in my lifetime, that the continents did not move. So we must remember the immortal words of Mark Twain, who said, whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect.

So let’s look at global warming. We start with the summary for policymakers, which is what everybody reads. We will go into more detail in a minute, but for now, we assume the summary has all the important stuff, and turning to page three we find what are arguably the two most important graphs in climate science in 2001.

The top graph is taken from the Hadley Center in England, and shows global surface warming. The bottom graph is from an American research team headed by Mann and shows temperature for the last thousand years.

Of these two graphs, one is entirely discredited and the other is seriously disputed. Let us begin with the top graph.

I have redrawn the graph in Excel, and it looks like this.

Now the first thing to say is that there is some uncertainty about how much warming has really occurred. The IPCC says the 20th century temperatures increase is between .4 and .8 degrees. The Goddard Institute says it is between .5 and .75 degrees. That is a fair degree of uncertainty about how much warming has already occurred.

But let’s take the graph as given. It shows a warming of .4 degrees until 1940, which precedes major industrialization and so may or may not be a largely natural process. Then from 1940 to 1970, temperatures fell.That was the reason for the global cooling scare, and the fears that it was never going to get warm again. Since then, temperatures have gone up, as you see here. They have risen in association with carbon dioxide levels. And the core of the claim of CO2 driven warming is based on this thirty-five year record.

But we must remember that this graph really shows annual variations in the average surface temperature of the earth over time. That total average temperature is ballpark sixteen degrees. So if we graph the entire average fluctuation, it looks like this:

So all the interest is in this little fluttering on the surface. Let’s be clear that I am graphing the data in a way that minimizes it. But the earlier graph maximizes it.If you put a ball bearing under a microscope it will look like the surface of the moon. But it is smooth to the touch.† Both things are true. Question is which is important.

Since I think the evidence is weak, I urge you to bear this second graph in mind.

Now the question is, is this twentieth-century temperature rise extraordinary?For that we must turn to the second graph by Michael Mann, which is known as the ďhockey stick.

This graph shows the results of a study of 112 so-called proxy studies: tree rings, isotopes in ice, and other markers of relative temperature. Obviously there were no thermometers back in the year 1000, so proxies are needed to get some idea of past warmth. Mann’s findings were a centerpiece of the last UN study, and they were the basis for the claim that the twentieth century showed the steepest temperature rise of the last thousand years. That was said in 2001. No one would say it now. Mann’s work has come under attack from several laboratories around the world. Two Canadian investigators, McKitrick and McIntyre, re-did the study using Mann’s data and methods, and found dozens of errors, including two data series with exactly the same data for a number of years. Not surprisingly, when they corrected all the errors, they came up with sharply differing results.

But still this increase is steep and unusual, isn’t it? Well, no, because actually you can’t trust it.It turns out that Mann and his associates used a non-standard formula to analyze his data, and this particular formula will turn anything into a hockey stick—including trendless data generated by computer.

Physicist Richard Muller called this result a shocker and he is right. Hans von Storch calls Mann’s study rubbish. Both men are staunch advocates of global warming. But Mann’s mistakes are considerable. But he will get tenure soon anyway.

But the disrepute into which his study has fallen leaves us wondering just how much variation in climate is normal. Let’s look at a couple of stations.

Here you see that the current temperature rise, while distinctive, is far from unique. Paris was hotter in the 1750s and 1830s than today.

Similarly, if you look at Stuttgart from 1950 to present, it looks dramatic. If you look at the whole record, it is put into an entirely different perspective. And again, it was warmer in the 1800s than now.

Now, these are graphs taken from the GISS website at the time I did my research for the book.For those of you think the science is all aboveboard, you might contemplate this. The data have been changed.

I have no comment on why the Goddard Institute changed the data on their website. But it clearly makes the temperature record look more consistently upward-trending and more fearsome than it did a few months ago.

All right. With the second graph demolished, it is time to return to the first. Now we must ask, if surface temperatures have gone up in the twentieth century, what has caused the rise? Most people have been taught that the increase is caused by carbon dioxide, but that is by no means clear.

Two factors that were previously not of concern have recently come to the renewed attention of scientists. The first is the sun. In the past it was imagined that the effect of the sun was fairly constant and therefore any rise in temperature must be caused by some other factor. But it is now clear from work of scientists at the Max Planck institute in Germany that the sun is not constant, and is right now at a 1,000 year maximum. The data comes from sunspots.

According to Solanki and his associates,

This shows that solar radiation and surface temperature are correlated until recent times. Solanki says that the sun is insufficient to explain the current temperatures, and therefore another factor is also at work, presumably greenhouse gases. But the question is whether the sun accounts for a significant part of twentieth-century warming. Nobody is sure. But it is likely to be some amount greater than was previously thought.

Now we turn to cities:

Another factor that could change the record is heat from cities. This is called the urban heat bias, and as with solar effects, scientists tended to think the effect, while real, was relatively minor. That is why the IPCC allowed only six hundredths of a degree for urban heating.† But cities are hot: the correction is likely to be much greater. We now understand that many cities are 7 or 8 degrees warmer than the surrounding countryside.†

(A temperature chart from a car driving around Berlin. The difference between city and country is 7 degrees.)

Some studies have suggested that the proper adjustment to the record needs to be four or five times greater than the IPCC allowance.

Now what does this mean to our record? Well remember, the total warming in the 20th century is six tenths of a degree.

If some of this is from land use and urban heating (and one studies suggests it is .35 C for the century), and some is solar heating (.25 C for century), then the amount attributable to carbon dioxide becomes less. And let me repeat: nobody knows how much is attributable to carbon dioxide right now.

But if carbon dioxide is not the major factor, it may not make a lot of sense to try and limit it. There are many reasons to reduce our dependence on fossil fuels, and I support such a reduction. But global warming may not be a good or a primary reason.

So this is very important stuff. The uncertainties are great.

And now, we turn to the most important issue.† WHAT WILL HAPPEN IN THE FUTURE?

To answer this, we must turn to the UN body known as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The IPCC, the gold standard in climate science.

In the last ten years, the IPCC has published book after book. And I believe I may be the only person who has read them. I say that because if any journalist were to read these volumes with any care they would come away with the most extreme unease—and not in the way the texts intend.

The most recent volume is the Third Assessment Report, from 2001. It contains the most up-to-date views of scientists in the field. Let’s see what the text says. I will be reading aloud.

Sorry, but these books are written in academic-ese.† They are hard to decipher, but we will do that.†

Starting with the first section, The Climate System: An Overview, we turn to the first page of text, and on the third paragraph read:

‘Climate variations and change, caused by external forcings, may be partly predictable, particularly on the larger, continental and global, spatial scales. Because human activities, such as the emission of greenhouse gases or land-use change, do result in external forcing, it is believed that the large-scale aspects of human-induced climate change are also partly predictable. However the ability to actually do so is limited because we cannot accurately predict population change, economic change, technological development, and other relevant characteristics of future human activity. In practice, therefore, one has to rely on carefully constructed scenarios of human behaviour and determine climate projections on the basis of such scenarios.’

Take these sentence by sentence, and translate into plain English. Starting with the first sentence. It is really just saying:

Climate may be partly predictable.

Second sentence means:

We believe human-induced climate change is predictable.

Third sentence means:

But we can’t predict human behavior.

Fourth sentence:

Therefore we rely on seniors .

The logic here is difficult to follow. What does ďmay be partly predictable mean? Is it like a little bit pregnant? We see in two sentences we go from may be predictable to is predictable. And then, if we can’t make accurate predictions about population and development and technology how can you make a carefully-constructed scenario? What does ďcarefully-constructed mean if you can’t make accurate predictions about population and economic and other factors that are essential to the scenario?

The flow of illogic is stunning. Am I are making too much of this?† Let’s look at another quote:

The state of science at present is such that it is only possible to give illustrative examples of possible outcomes.

Illustrative examples. The estimates for even partial US compliance with Kyoto—a reduction of 3% below 1990 levels, not the required 7%—has been predicted to cost almost 300 billion dollars a year. Year after year. We can afford it. But if we are going to spend trillions of dollars, I would like to base that decision on something more substantial than illustrative examples.

Let’s look at another quote.

My concerns deepen when I read climate models now have some skill in simulating changes in climate since 1850Ö. SOME SKILL? This is not skill in predicting the future. This is skill in reproducing the past.It doesn’t sound like these models really perform very well. It would be natural to ask how they are tested.

NEXT QUOTE

While we do not consider that the complexity of a climate model makes it impossible to ever prove such a model false in any absolute sense, it does make the task of evaluation extremely difficult and leaves room for a subjective component in any assessment.

Now, the term subjective ought to set off alarm bells in every person here. Science, by definition, is not subjective. I will† point out to you that this is precisely the kind of issue that has Americans furious about the EPA. We know you can’t let a drug company manufacture a drug and also test it—that is unreliable, and everybody knows it.† So why in this high stakes climate issue do we allow the same person who makes a climate model to test it?

The flaws in this process are well known.† James Madison, our fourth President:

No man is allowed to be judge in his own cause, because his interest would certainly bias his judgment, and not improbably, corrupt his integrity.

Madison is right.

Climate science needs some verification by outsiders.

NEXT QUOTE

Again, am I making too much of all this?† It turns out I am not. Late in the text, we read:

The long term prediction of future climate states is not possible.Ē

Surely it should lead us to close the book at this point. If the system is non-linear and chaoticóand it isóthen it canít be predicted, and if it canít be predicted, what are we doing here?† Why are we worrying about the year 2100?

All right, you may be saying.† Perhaps this is the state of climate science, as the IPCC itself tell us. Nevertheless we read every day about the dire consequences of global warming. What if I am wrong?† What if a major temperature rise is really going to happen?† Shouldn’t we act now and be safe? Don’t we have a responsibility to unborn generations to do so?

NEXT CHART

Act Now or Later?

Here is again the IPCC chart of predictions for 2100. As you see, they range from a low of 1.5 degrees to a high of 6 degrees. That is a 400% variation. It is fine in academic research. Now let’s transfer this to the real world.

In the real world, a 400% uncertainty is so great that nobody acts on it. Ever.

If you planned to build a house and the builder said, it will cost somewhere between a million and a half and six million dollars, would you proceed? Of course not, you’d get a new builder. If you told your boss you were going on vacation and would be gone somewhere between 15 and 60 days, would he accept that? No, he would say tell me exactly what day you will be back. Real world estimation has to be much, much better than 400%.

When all is said and done, Kyoto is a giant global construction project.In the real world nobody builds with that much uncertainty.

Next, we must face facts about the present. If warming is a problem, we have no good technological solutions at this point. Everybody talks wind farms, but people hate them. They’re ugly and noisy and change the weather and chop birds and bats to pieces, and they are fought everywhere they are proposed. Here is the wind farm at Cape Cod, which has aroused everyone who lives there, including lots of environmentalists who are embarrassed but still they don’t want them. Who can blame them? A very large anti-wind faction has grown up in England, partly because the government are trying to put farms in the Lake District and other scenic areas.

But whether we like the technology or not, do we really have the capability to meet the Kyoto Protocols? Reporting in Science magazine, a blue-ribbon group of scientists concluded that we do not:

So, if we do not have good technology perhaps we should wait. And there are other reasons to wait. If in fact we are facing a really expensive construction job, we can afford it better later on. We will be richer. This is a 400 year trend.

Finally, I think it is important to recognize that we can adapt to the temperature changes that are being discussed. We are told that catastrophe will befall if we increase global temperature 2 degrees. But that is the difference in average temperature between New York and Washington DC. I don’t think most New Yorkers think a move to Washington is balmy. Similarly, a move to San Diego is an increase of 9 degrees.

Of course this is not a fair comparison, because a local change is not the same as a global change. But it ought at least to alert you to the possibility that perhaps things are not as dire as we are being told. And were told thirty years ago, about the ice age.

Last, I want you to think about what it means to say that we are going to act now to address something 100 years from now. People say this with confidence; we hear that the people of the future will condemn us if we donít act. But is that true?

We are at the start of the 21st century, looking ahead.† We are just like someone in 1900, thinking about the year 2000.Could someone in 1900 have helped us?

Here is Teddy Roosevelt, a major environmental figure from 1900. These are some of the words that he does not know the meaning of:

airport

antibiotic

antibody

antenna

computer

continental drift

tectonic plates

zipper

nylon

radio

television

robot

video

virus

gene

proton

neutron

atomic structure

quark

atomic bomb

nuclear energy

ecosystem

jumpsuits

fingerprints

step aerobics

12-step

jet stream

shell shock

shock wave

radio wave

microwave

tidal wave

tsunami

IUD

DVD

MP3

MRI

HIV

SUV

VHS

VAT

whiplash

wind tunnel

carpal tunnel

fiber optics

direct dialing

dish antennas

gorilla

corneal transplant

liver transplant

heart transplant

liposuction

transduction

maser

taser

laser

acrylic

penicillin

Internet

interferon

nylon

rayon

leisure suit

leotard

lap dancing

laparoscopy

arthroscopy

gene therapy

bipolar

moonwalk

spot welding

heat-seeking

Prozac

sunscreen

urban legends

rollover minutes

Given all those changes, is there anything Teddy could have done in 1900 to help us? And aren’t we in his position right now, with regard to 2100?

Think how incredibly the world has changed in 100 years. It will change vastly more in the next century. A hundred years ago there were no airplanes and almost no cars. Do you really believe that 100 years from now we will still be burning fossil fuels and driving around in cars and airplanes?†

The idea of spending trillions on the future is only sensible if you totally lack any historical sense, and any imagination about the future.

If we should not spend our money on Kyoto, what should we do instead?† I will argue three points.

First, we need to establish 21st century policy mechanisms.† I want to return to those pages from the IPCC. The fact is if we required the same standard of information from climate scientists that we do from drug companies, the whole debate on global warming would be long over. We wouldnít be talking about it. We need mechanisms to insure a much, much higher standard of reliability in information in the future.

Second, we need to deal correctly with complexity of non-linear systems. The environment is a complex system, a term that has a specific meaning in science. Beyond being complicated, it means that interacting parts that modify each other have the capacity to change the output of the system in unexpected ways. This fact has several ramifications. The first is that the old notion of the balance of nature is thoroughly discredited. There is no balance of nature. To think so is to share an agreeable fantasy with the ancient Greeks. But it is also a shocking change for us, and we resist it. Some now talk of balance in nature, as a way to keep the old idea alive. Some claim there are multiple equilibrium states, but this is just a way of pretending that the balance can attained in different ways. It is a misstatement of the truth. The natural system of inherently chaotic, major disruption is the rule not the exception, and if we are to manage the system we are going to have to be actively involved.

This represents a revision of the role of mankind in nature, and a revision of the perception of nature as something untouched. We now know that nature has never been untouched. The first white visitors to the New World didn’t understand what they were looking at. In California, Indians burned old growth forest with such regularity that there is more old growth today than there was in 1850. Yellowstone was a beauty spot precisely because the Indians hunted the elk and moose to the edge of extinction. When they were prevented from hunting in their traditional grounds, Yellowstone began its complex decline.

We now have research to help us formulate strategies for management of complex systems. But I am not sure we have organizations capable of making these changes. I would also remind you that to properly manage what we call wilderness is going to be stupefyingly expensive. Good wilderness is expensive!

Finally, and most important we can’t predict the future, but we can know the present. In the time we have been talking, 2,000 people have died in the third world. A child is orphaned by AIDS every 7 seconds. Fifty people die of waterborne disease every minute. This does not have to happen.We allow it.

What is wrong with us that we ignore this human misery and focus on events a hundred years from now? What must we do to awaken this phenomenally rich, spoiled and self-centered society to the issues of the wider world? The global crisis is not 100 years from now it is right now. We should be addressing it. But we are not. Instead, we cling to the reactionary and antihuman doctrines of outdated environmentalism and turn our backs to the cries of the dying and the starving and the diseased of our shared world.

And if we are going to remain too self-involved to care about the third world, can we at least care about our own?† We live in a country where 40% of high school graduates are functionally illiterate. Where schoolchildren pass through metal detectors on the way to class. Where one child in four says they have seen a murdered person. Where millions of our fellow citizens have no health care, no decent education, no prospects for the future. If we really have trillions of dollars to spend, let us spend it on our fellow human beings. And let us spend it now. And not on our impossible fantasies of what may happen one hundred years from now.

Thank you very much.

Chinese Ships To North Korea —-Cheating Again!

The Wall Street Journal has a detailed article this moring outlining the information that the US has provided to the Sanctions Committee of the UN . Accompanied the information is phographs of the ships actually loading with North Korean Ships. My IPAD does allow me to reproduce the photos but here is the written text .

How many times is the West going to be tricked or refuse effective retaliation against China ? Too big now to really touch with all the trading relationships etc?

‘Six Chinese Ships Covertly Aided North Korea. The U.S. Was Watching.
Intelligence gathered by American officials provides what they say is detailed evidence of sanctions violations

A satellite image shows the Chinese-owned Glory Hope 1 cargo ship transferring coal to another ship near a Vietnamese port in August.

U.S. ANALYSIS SUBMITTED TO UNITED NATIONS

By Michael R. Gordon in Washington and Chun Han Wong in Beijing
Updated Jan. 19, 2018 12:42 a.m. ET

Satellite photographs and other intelligence gathered by U.S. officials provide what they say is detailed evidence of at least six Chinese-owned or -operated cargo ships violating United Nations sanctions against North Korea.

The U.S. compiled the information from Asian waters as part of the Trump administration’s strategy to pressure North Korea into giving up its nuclear weapons and long-range missiles.

The effort identified the ships by name and tracked their movements. The ships either entered ports in North Korea and transported what U.S. officials concluded was illicit cargo to Russia and Vietnam or made ship-to-ship transfers at sea.

According to the U.S., which presented the information to a U.N. sanctions committee, the ships also made extensive maneuvers designed to disguise their violations of the U.N. sanctions. In August, the Security Council banned North Korean exports of coal, iron ore, lead and seafood, which have generated an estimated $1 billion a year in hard currency for North Korea.

A review by The Wall Street Journal of corporate records and shipping databases shows that the six vessels identified by the U.S. are owned or managed by Chinese companies or firms that are registered in Hong Kong and have shareholders who are Chinese nationals and have used addresses in mainland China.

In December, the U.S. asked the sanctions committee to formally designate the six ships as sanctions violators. China resisted that request but allowed four other vessels with no apparent links to Chinese companies to be blacklisted. The names of the four blacklisted ships were announced by the U.N., but the other six weren’t.

A satellite photo shows the Glory Hope 1 being loaded with coal in North Korea.
A satellite photo shows the Glory Hope 1 being loaded with coal in North Korea. PHOTO: U.S. ANALYSIS SUBMITTED TO UNITED NATIONS

China’s foreign ministry said Beijing abides fully with Security Council resolutions and deals with violations in accordance with the law. “Any measure taken by the Security Council should be based upon conclusive evidence and facts,” the ministry told the Journal in a written statement.

The foreign ministry didn’t respond to questions about the six Chinese-owned or -operated cargo ships that were dropped from the blacklist.

The Chinese delegation to the U.N. provided the committee with no formal explanation of why China was willing to allow some ships to go on the list but not others. Some U.S. officials believe the goal was to avoid the embarrassment of ships with Chinese ties being found in breach of sanctions.

Chinese officials have investigated at least four of the six vessels, and several shipowners and managers have been questioned by officials from China’s state-security and foreign ministries, as well as local customs and maritime agencies, according to some of the people questioned.

At least one cargo-ship manager has been detained as part of a criminal investigation, said the manager’s son, a lawyer and the ship’s owner. They said the manager’s detention is likely due to involvement in trade with North Korea.

The ship’s manager hasn’t been formally charged with wrongdoing, the lawyer said. China’s foreign ministry and customs agency didn’t respond to questions about the matter.

Declassified intelligence reports, photos and maps shared with the U.N. by American officials asserted multiple instances of Chinese ships violating Security Council resolutions banning North Korean coal exports and ship-to-ship transfers of refined petroleum bound for North Korea. The Journal reviewed much of that evidence.

The U.S. said the Chinese-owned Glory Hope 1 was violating the U.N.’s complete ban on North Korean coal exports within days after it was passed in August.

The vessel crossed the Yellow Sea near North Korea under a Panamanian flag, entered North Korea’s Taedong River and then turned into the North Korean port of Songnim, according to the information presented to the U.N.

Shipment Tracking

The Glory Hope 1, a Chinese-owned cargo ship, used a series of maneuvers to conceal coal it picked up in North Korea and delivered to Vietnam after the United Nations banned all North Korean exports of coal, according to the U.S. government.

After being loaded with coal, the Glory Hope 1 departs Songnim, North Korea, with its identification system turned off.

The ship continues south along the Chinese coast to Cam Pha, Vietnam, where it delivers the coal Aug. 26 near the port.

The ship turns on its tracking device near the Chinese port of Lianyungang but doesn’t enter.

Source: U.S. analysis submitted to the United Nations

While approaching North Korean waters, the Glory Hope 1 turned off its Automatic Identification System, or AIS, a transmission device that discloses a ship’s position to other ships, satellites and land-based tracking systems.

Turning off AIS can increase the risk of collision at sea, though international maritime guidelines say ship captains may do so in case of pirates but must turn the device back on as soon the danger passes. A shipowner or operator could give an instruction to shut off the device and would likely know if it had been, according to shipping and sanctions experts.

“When AIS is off in a vast sea, you are basically invisible,” said Ioannis Sgouras, a veteran Greek captain of crude-oil carriers. “You can still be picked up by other ships on radar if you are in range, but they can’t tell the ship’s name, cargo or destination.”

U.S. intelligence officials used satellite photos to monitor the Glory Hope 1 as it took on a load of North Korean coal Aug. 7. The ship then proceeded toward the coast of China, with its AIS turned off.

Just as switching off the AIS beacon can disguise a ship’s movements, a vessel can advertise its location by switching on the transmission device, much like turning on a flashlight in a darkened room. Both techniques were essential for the Glory Hope 1 as it carried out its mission, according to the analysis submitted by the U.S. to the U.N. sanctions committee.

The ship’s crew activated the AIS tracking device as the Glory Hope 1 approached the Chinese port of Lianyungang on Aug. 15. Instead of entering the port, the vessel “loitered” offshore, information provided to the U.N. shows.

The U.S. suggested the stop was meant to make it look as if the Glory Hope 1 had gone there to take on Chinese cargo. For more than a week, the ship hugged the Chinese coast until it approached Cam Pha, Vietnam, where its tracker was turned off again.

A U.S. satellite photo provided to the U.N. sanctions committee shows the ship anchored and being unloaded Aug. 26 near the Vietnamese port.

The Glory Hope 1 is owned by a Chinese company and operated by Hong Kong-registered Glory Hope Trade Co., shipping databases and corporate records reviewed by the Journal show. Glory Hope Trade’s two shareholders are Chinese nationals with addresses in the eastern Chinese city of Nantong.

One of the shareholders, Lu Yuliang, has been detained by local authorities since late August, according to the vessel’s owner and Mr. Lu’s son, Lyu Cong. Mr. Lu hasn’t appeared in court, his son said.

“I think it is the coal from North Korea,” said Mr. Lyu, who called his father a scapegoat. A spokesman for the provincial government said authorities weren’t aware of the case and haven’t found any alleged sanctions violations. The ship’s other shareholder couldn’t be reached.

Coal at the North Korean port of Rason in November. North Korea’s anthracite coal is some of the purest in Asia, but exports are banned by the U.N.

Coal at the North Korean port of Rason in November. North Korea’s anthracite coal is some of the purest in Asia, but exports are banned by the U.N. PHOTO: ED JONES//AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES

North Korea needs hard currency to sustain its military machine, maintain a privileged lifestyle for its elite and other forms of financial aid. U.S. officials say the regime’s revenue sources include cybercrime, remittances from workers abroad and illicit exports of North Korean anthracite coal, some of the purest in Asia.

“For many years, coal has been the center of gravity for North Korea’s revenue generation,” Marshall S. Billingslea, the assistant Treasury secretary for terrorist financing, told the House Foreign Affairs Committee in September.

A cargo ship of the Glory Hope 1’s size typically could carry as much as 5,500 tons of coal, which could be worth $1.5 million at market rates. North Korean coal hauled by the vessel almost certainly would have been sold at a discount. Ships that dare to transport illicit coal would likely get paid a substantial premium to standard shipping rates.

On Aug. 31, the Chinese-owned vessel Kai Xiang picked up its load of coal at Nampo, North Korea, with its tracking beacon off, according to the declassified intelligence provided to the U.N. sanctions committee. The ship then proceeded toward the Chinese coast and activated its AIS system on Sept. 4.

Two days later, the Kai Xiang stopped in Hong Kong and then went to Cam Pha, where American satellite photos show the ship being unloaded in anchorage at the Vietnamese port.

Satellite photos show the Chinese-owned ship Kai Xiang loading coal at a North Korean port Aug. 31 and unloading near a Vietnamese port Sept. 18. PHOTOS: U.S. ANALYSIS SUBMITTED TO UNITED NATIONS(2)

A senior executive at a Chinese contractor that handled safety management for the Kai Xiang said in an interview that the same ship also delivered North Korean coal to Vietnam in June 2017.

Because of the shipment, the company terminated its contract with the Kai Xiang in July, the executive said. At the time, the U.N. had capped North Korean coal exports at $400 million a year, or 7.5 million metric tons, whichever was lower. The Kai Xiang’s owner and shareholders couldn’t be reached.

U.S. officials said one Chinese-registered ship journeyed to the Russian port city of Vladivostok to create the impression that the vessel was hauling Russian coal.

The Xin Sheng Hai set sail from China around Aug. 10, went around the Korean Peninsula and then loitered off the Russian coast Aug. 18 and 19 in anchorage with its tracking device on, according to the U.S. officials. The ship didn’t enter the port.

After two days, the Xin Sheng Hai turned off its beacon and proceeded to the North Korean port of Nampo, where it was photographed Aug. 31 taking on a coal shipment, the U.S. said. The coal was delivered to Vietnam in late September.

The vessel’s owner said it didn’t take part in illicit trade with North Korea. Russian officials at the U.N. and in Washington didn’t respond to requests for comment. Vietnam’s embassy in Washington referred questions to the foreign ministry, which didn’t respond.

Another cargo ship, the Yu Yuan, was loaded with coal at Wonsan, North Korea, on Aug. 12 and then loitered outside the Russian port of Nakhodka for six days without making a delivery there, according to the U.S. A Sept. 5 photo shows the Yu Yuan delivering its coal to the port of Kholmsk on Russia’s Sakhalin Island.

The details were part of the ammunition used by American officials to seek the blacklisting of 10 ships by the U.N.

Six of the 10 ships were registered with mainland Chinese or Hong Kong ownership, including the Glory Hope 1, Kai Xiang, Xin Sheng Hai and Yu Yuan.

U.S. officials said the remaining two, the Lighthouse Winmore and Sam Jong 2, made a ship-to-ship transfer in October of refined petroleum bound for North Korea. Transfers to North Korean-flagged vessels such as the Sam Jong 2 were banned by the U.N. in September.

A Sept. 5 coal delivery to Russia by the Yu Yuan, which came from North Korea.
A Sept. 5 coal delivery to Russia by the Yu Yuan, which came from North Korea. PHOTO: U.S. ANALYSIS SUBMITTED TO UNITED NATIONS

Formally designating the ships as sanctions violators would require all U.N. members to ban the ships from entering their ports.

China, a permanent member of the Security Council, had voted in favor of a series of sanctions resolutions last year to punish North Korea for tests of nuclear weapons or missile-based delivery systems.

In December, though, China twice delayed its response to the sanctions committee and then asked for the removal of the six Chinese-owned or -operated vessels from the proposed blacklist, according to diplomats familiar with China’s communications. The sanctions committee includes all 15 members of the Security Council and operates by consensus, which means China essentially has veto power over committee decisions.

American officials say the smuggling problems seem to be getting worse. South Korean authorities impounded in late December the Koti, a Panamanian-flagged vessel accused of transporting oil to North Korea. That ship wasn’t among the 10 on the U.S.’s proposed blacklist.

Photos taken by the U.S. show the ship transferring oil in the East China Sea to the North Korean tanker Kum Un San 3. The tanker has sought to hide its identity by painting over its name and displaying a false name on its stern, according to the U.S.’s analysis.

Shipping databases show the vessel is linked to companies in Hong Kong. The companies couldn’t be reached for comment. China’s foreign ministry said the Koti docked at a Chinese port Dec. 18 and then left empty.

H.R. McMaster, President Donald Trump’s national security adviser, has warned of severe reprisals for ships that violate sanctions.

At a conference hosted last month by the Policy Exchange, a British think tank, Lt. Gen. McMaster said: “A company whose ships would engage in that activity ought to be on notice that that might be the last delivery of anything they do for a long time, anywhere.”

—James T. Areddy, Chunying Zhang, Costas Paris and Natasha Khan contributed to this article.

Appeared in the January 19, 2018, print edition as ‘Chinese Ships Abetted North Korea.’

Tens Of Thousands Greet Netanyahu and Modi

From Legal Insurrection website today

‘Before traveling to Mumbai, Prime Minister Netanyahu spent a day with Prime Minister Modi in his home state of Gujarat where tens of thousands of Indians showed up to welcome the visiting Israeli leader. Jerusalem-based new website Times of Israel reported the reception given to the visiting leader in the Indian city of Ahmadabad on Wednesday:

“In Ahmadebad, tens of thousands of people lined the street, some waving Israeli flags, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu sped past, whizzing by massive billboards with his and Indian counterpart Narendra Modi’s faces plastered on them.

In rural Dev Dholera, curious farmers and others craned their necks to catch a glimpse of the prime ministers, and hundreds of young entrepreneurs and business people cheered the leaders like rock stars.

In Sabarkantha, villagers waved at the prime ministers’ helicopters as they came in to land in a former forest that had been cleared to make way for a helipad. Dancers in traditional dress did flips, and farmers told of how many rupees they had made after training at an Israel-funded agricultural center.

There was some positive developments in the field of defense cooperation as well, with India putting the $500 million deal to buy the Spike anti-tank guided missiles back on the table. Earlier this month, India’s Ministry of Defense unexpectedly announced its decision to cancel an agreement with the Israeli defense manufacturer Rafael, amid speculations that India wanted to develop the missile system themselves.’

Vancouver Out With Amazon

No one is surprised I hope with this most recent announcement. I mean the locals in Vancouver , especially the radio stations and the fake Mayor, talk up the city as International and then they all turn around and support anti business policies . Of course, no one at Amazon is going to say anything negative given that Amazon is in business and has a presence in Vancouver . And there is also that matter of an anti business NDP Government propped up by anti business Greens.

But Vancouver just doesn’t cut it business wise. Given its location and weather vs the rest of Canada it will chug along —Whistler and all.

But the big stuff —not on your life!

Toronto is still there in the top 20–but I suspect that is more a political correct move —-no need now piss off a whole country at this juncture. And while Toronto has some things to boast about, it is still in Ontario where governance and anti business policies has left the Province with one of the highest per capita net debt Provinces in the Country. Toronto will have to be satisfied with the ——laugh—laugh—laugh Federal Infrastructure Bank!

Hard not to see a US winner here. What with the new tax law —-many companies like Apple already repatriating their savings from oversees , promising new facilities, Nissan and Toyota announcing billion dollar investments and many more companies every day announcing new investments.

As I have noted on this blog more often than I care to remember we score internationally very low on business matters , low in adapting to new technologies , having business friendly regulations etc.

World Bank ‘s rankings of ease of doing business ? Ireland, Estonia and Georgia beat us!

And that bad place to the south of us ? Twelve places ahead of us in the rankings!

Bring on the Mediocrity!